Game 3 of the NLCS will be played at home by the Phillies against the Padres. It’s time to make a prediction and choose for the Padres vs. Phillies game in our MLB odds series.
With a valiant comeback win on Wednesday, the San Diego Padres knotted the series at one game each. In that situation, many teams would have crumbled; however, the Friars methodically fought back to win the upper hand over a hot Phillies club. San Diego rallied five runs in the fifth inning to grab an 8-4 lead after falling down 4-0. They won a crucial game after Manny Machado finished it off with a moonshot to deep left centre field.
In the second inning against Blake Snell, the Phillies found a way to score four runs to get things going. They just weren’t able to take advantage after a challenging fifth inning. Bryce Harper is still spearheading the offence, which is still scorching. He shares the playoff lead with Machado with four home runs. The Philadelphia Phillies scored nine runs in Game 3 and then eight runs in Game 4 of their two home NLDS contests against the Atlanta Braves. The following three games will be played in Philadelphia.
The Padres at Phillies Game 3 MLB odds are provided below thanks to FanDuel.
NLCS Odds: Padres-Phillies Odds
Padres of San Diego: -1.5 (+142)
Phillies of Philadelphia: +1.5 (-172)
Over: 7.5 (-106) (-106)
Under: 7.5 (-114)
Why The Padres Could Cover The Spread
Joe Musgrove will start Game 3 for the Padres. The right-hander is (1-0) with a 1.38 ERA in 13 innings through two postseason games. In the Wild Card round against the New York Mets, he went seven innings without allowing a run, while the Mets only got one hit. In his subsequent six-inning start against the Los Angeles Dodgers, he only allowed two runs on six hits. Musgrove has been outstanding thus far, and he will try to keep it up against the Phillies on the road.
In a game that needed to be won, the offence improved after concluding Game 1 with only one hit and no runs. Except for one player in the lineup, everyone contributed with a hit. The timely hits by Machado, Josh Bell, Brandon Drury, and Austin Nola that enabled the comeback were crucial to the victory. Nola singled in a run while facing up against his older brother Aaron Nola, who has been absolutely dominant this postseason. They ought to be able to cover this spread if the lineup can keep hitting like it did on Wednesday. Early in the series, they did an excellent job of removing five relievers from the bullpen.
Why The Phillies Could Cover The Spread
Ranger Suarez is up for Philadelphia. Only three innings were pitched by the southpaw against the Braves, giving up three hits and one run. He walked five batters, which is awful news for the Padres squad. Juan Soto leads MLB with the lowest swing rate, while SD has one of the lowest swing rates in the league. Suarez must be able to find the zone on Friday night because the Padres are not afraid to take pitches. He pitched 7.1 innings against SD in late June, giving up seven hits and two runs, so he has faced most of the lineup before.
Harper has a.419 batting average and a 1.390 OPS through 31 at-bats. He appears to blast the ball someplace in every at-bat, which is helping the lineup. In the postseason, getting on base is the only thing that counts, whether it’s by a home run or a bloop single. The offensive will undoubtedly play a role for the Phillies in the upcoming three games since they are on a high when playing at home. Nick Castellanos needs to turn things around, and if he does, the Padres’ pitching staff will face some severe difficulties.
Final Padres-Phillies Prediction & Pick
Although the Padres are the underdogs in this matchup, I believe the Phillies’ offensive has a significant impact on the outcome. The Phillies and the over are the pick here, as the offence should keep them within one run.
Final Prediction & Pick for Phillies vs. Padres: Phillies +1.5 (-172); Over 7.5 (-106)
The initial item on ClutchPoints was NLCS Odds: Padres vs. Phillies Game 3 prediction, odds and pick – 10/21/2022.