In Game 4 of the National League Championship Series, the San Diego Padres take on the Philadelphia Phillies in an effort to recover and avoid falling behind 3-1. It’s time to make a prediction and choose for Game 4 of the Padres-Phillies series in our MLB odds series.
After winning 4-2 the previous night, the Phillies lead the Padres 2-1. They now aim to increase their lead to 3-1 in order to potentially secure the championship tomorrow.
The Phillies’ Kyle Schwarber stepped up to the plate to start the game. Then Schwarber immediately sent a 3-2 cutter into the right field stands. It was his second home run of the postseason and travelled around 405 feet in the air. Later, in the fourth inning, Jean Segura made a mistake that allowed Juan Soto to score from third and tie the game at 1-1. With a base hit to right-center field that scored two runners and made it 3-1 Phillies, Segura atoned for his error. When Alec Bohm doubled to right-center field in the sixth inning, the Phillies had a 3-2 lead and the insurance run they required.
Ranger Suarez was effective; he pitched for five innings and surrendered two runs, one of which was earned, on two hits. Significantly, the Phillies’ bullpen pitched four flawless innings, including a save by Seranthony Dominguez with six outs.
Today, Padres pitcher Mike Clevinger will take the mound. In these playoffs, he had a 13.50 ERA and a 0-1 record. But since the National League Division Series matchup against the Los Angeles Dodgers on October 12—during which he went 2 2/3 innings and gave up five runs (four earned) on six hits—Clevinger hasn’t taken the mound. Over nine playoff outings, he has a 0-1 record and a 5.74 ERA.
For the Phillies, Noah Syndergaard will start on the mound. Syndergaard has a 2.25 ERA and is 0–1. He pitched three innings, giving up one earned run on one hit and striking out three batters in the National League Division Series on October 15 against the Atlanta Braves. In seven games throughout these playoffs, Syndergaard had a 2-1 record and a 2.40 ERA.
These MLB odds between the Padres and Phillies are provided by FanDuel.
MLB Odds: Padres-Phillies Game 4 Odds
Padres of San Diego: -1.5 (+150)
Phillies of Philadelphia: +1.5 (-182)
Over: 8 (-105) (-105)
Under: 8 (-115)
Why The Padres Could Cover The Spread
The Padres have the ability to score runs. They did, however, score less runs combined in Games 1 and 3 than they did in Game 2. San Diego needs to develop an offence. In the end, it means that their stars must step up and deliver.
Last night, Soto had a 1-for-3 night with a run. However, he also failed to score. Manny Machado had a 0-for-4 record. Likewise, he also failed to score. In the lineup, Brandon Drury was the third-place hitter. He actually went 2 for 4, but he also struck out. The Padres started having problems because they kept whiffing on every pitch that the Phillies threw to them. In the end, they need to make a quick correction to have a chance.
A lot of runners were left on base by the Padres as well. As a result, the Padres’ seven runners were unable to score. The result of the game would have changed if they had completed half of those runners. The Padres now have another opportunity to make amends.
If the Padres can get runners home, they will cover the spread. Machado and Soto also need to hit the baseball. With the powerful hitters in the Phillies lineup, the pitching staff cannot make any huge errors.
Why The Phillies Could Cover The Spread
The Phillies are pressing the gas pedal hard. They must now pick up speed. Philadelphia made the most of their opportunities, taking a 2-1 series lead and the opportunity to win the last two games and guarantee a trip to the World Series. On the other hand, there is still work to be done.
Schwarber hit a home homer and went 2 for 4. Rhys Hoskins, however, continued to have trouble, going 0 for 3. J.T. Realmuto and Bryce Harper each had a 3-for-nothing performance. Brandon Marsh, who is at the bottom of the roster, is also still having trouble. The Phillies’ seasonal routines are being repeated. This means that they are either succeeding on one or two major hits or doing nothing at all. To assist Schwarber in hitting the ball, Harper and Hoskins must exert greater effort. The Phillies should also push more runners to the plate to avoid close games.
If Harper, Hoskins, and Schwarber perform well, the Phillies will win and cover the bet. The bullpen also needs to limit Soto, Machado, and the rest of this lineup.
Final Padres-Phillies Game 4 Prediction & Pick
Syndergaard is equipped for this situation. The focus right now is on performing in public. The better pitcher and home field go to the Phillies. Therefore, it ought to significantly alter things. Expect the Phillies to maintain their winning streak and win this game to go up 3-1.
Philadelphia Phillies: +1.5 in the fourth and decisive game between the Padres and Phillies (-182)
The following article initially appeared on ClutchPoints: NLCS Odds: Padres vs. Phillies Game 4 prediction, odds and selection – 10/22/2022.